Postal market must be cautious

The stamp market that rose more than two years after entering the market suddenly entered a "broke brake" in March this year. The situation of the postal market has turned sharply. The price of stamps has fallen sharply. Some of the new stamps issued this year have even fallen below the face value, and are currently at a break in the postal market. "Summer period", the market performance is even more sluggish.

A comprehensive analysis of the decline in the postal market will find that it is obviously different from the past. In the past two years, the periodical drop in the postal market was based on popular hype stamps issued in recent years, while the oldest special ticket and “wen” ticket The price of the “old ticket” plate, such as the numbered ticket, was very strong; but the drop in the postal market was even more tragic. Not only did all kinds of “fried” philatelic products fall, but even the “old ticket” plate, which had previously been very resilient, followed suit. Plunge. In fact, from the beginning of March, the postal market began to show signs of weakness, but at the time the market madly fired the “2012 Chinese Zodiac Dragon” full-page stamp, temporarily covering up the entire postal market. After entering April, the “Long-Plating Ticket” suddenly turned down, exposing the weak market conditions of the postal market. This year, the "Dragon ticket" was the highest at 500 yuan, but it soon fell to around 300 yuan, and now rebounded to 380 yuan. Affected by the “dragon plate” ticket drop, the leader of the Zodiac tickets “80 Year of the Monkey Zodiac” has also come back. At present, the latest price of the “Monkey Ticket” has dropped from the highest 13,000 yuan to 11,000 yuan; The stamps also quickly “dive” in the past two months. The entire “literal” ticket has dropped from 280,000 yuan in early May to the current 200,000 yuan, and the whole “literature” has stood above 20,000 yuan since early May. The letter of credit has a current price of less than 17,000 yuan; the whole set of “numbered tickets” also has a bad trend, falling from the highest price of 32,000 yuan to the current 24,000 yuan.

The overall drop in the postal market has caused the market to “fire off” and the heat has cooled rapidly. Some new postal companies have even fallen by more than 50% in the short term.

Does the current postal market have reached the bottom? The author believes that it is too early to talk about the postal market in the postal market. In the current weak market, investors must not rashly attack the trends of stamps that have a “weather vane” meaning, such as the “Year of the Zodiac”. Tickets and the "love of science since childhood," "Benma", "Dream of Red Mansions" and other JT boutique sheetlets and 2003, 2004 issued some of the high-quality small version of the market.

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